Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T22:52:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F2 0xf2b0…ab7d crypto 1566 markets active 1h ago coverage 26d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$257 (+1%) realized +$257 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate97%1521W / 45L
Drawdown23%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day62.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$158now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$73
14 days+$165
30 days+$225
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$225
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 370 +0.7% -8.9% 98% 5% -8.8%
≤30d 1566 +1.6% -8.1% 97% 8% -8.5%
≤90d 1566 +1.6% -8.1% 97% 8% -8.5%
all 1566 +1.6% -8.1% 97% 8% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 8% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 4% -17.2%
15% -24.9% 3% -25.2%
20% -32.3% 2% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$9 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.55 per $1 lost it wins $1.55
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$158
Realized+$257
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1521 / 45
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1566 / 1566
History coverage26d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day62.9
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1566 Trades
no open positions (45 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 23 $35 +$5 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 23 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 23 $35 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 23 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 23 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 23 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 23 $38 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 23 $39 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 23 $38 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 23 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 23 $38 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 23 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 23 $39 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 23 $28 +$12 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 23 $34 +$6 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 23 $39 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 23 $40 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 23 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 23 $29 +$11 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $39 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 23 $24 −$24 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 22 $39 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $40 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $35 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $39 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $35 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $39 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $40 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $39 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $39 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $38 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $39 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $39 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $32 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $40 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $36 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $38 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $40 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $40 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $158.26 · official $158.26 (match) · 3149 history records