Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:50:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf2b6…80b9
crypto · 80 markets active 12h ago
0.0score
−$475,635 -890%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$475,635 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$475,635
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses38 / 93
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)131 / 80
History coverage96d
Avg bet$668
Trades / day36.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$465,612
7 days−$467,977
14 days−$473,870
30 days−$474,480
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2,393 $0 −$2,393 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 16? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $14,054 $0 −$14,054 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $10,904 $0 −$10,904 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $801 $0 −$801 (-100%)
Will Base launch a token in 2025? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1,994 $0 −$1,994 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $839 $0 −$839 (-100%)
Lighter Airdrop on December 29? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $8,314 $0 −$8,314 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $8,000 $0 −$8,000 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 7? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $4,110 $0 −$4,110 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 6? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $15,500 $0 −$15,500 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $30,044 $0 −$30,044 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? Down 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2,884 $0 −$2,884 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? No 52¢ 0¢ $32,754 $0 −$32,754 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 2? No 24¢ 0¢ $6,317 $0 −$6,317 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 2PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1,331 $0 −$1,331 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $28,131 $0 −$28,131 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 18? Jun 13 $2,393 −$2,393 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 16? Jun 13 $14,054 −$14,054 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10? Jun 13 $10,904 −$9,265 -85%
Will Base launch a token in 2025? Jun 13 $1,994 −$2,111 -106%
Lighter Airdrop on December 29? Jun 13 $8,314 −$8,314 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5? Jun 13 $0 +$11,281 +62671642%
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 20-26? Jun 13 $8,000 −$8,000 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 7? Jun 13 $4,110 −$4,110 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 6? Jun 13 $15,500 −$15,496 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16? Jun 13 $30,044 −$30,044 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on October 21? Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? Jun 13 $2,884 −$2,884 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $500 −$500 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4? Jun 13 $0 −$76 -32134%
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November? Jun 13 $32,754 −$31,901 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 2? Jun 13 $6,317 −$6,317 -100%
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 2PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 22? Jun 13 $28,131 −$28,131 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 9? Jun 13 $240 −$240 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 11? Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November Jun 13 $0 +$1,095 +538461%
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on November 4? Jun 13 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Jun 13 $1,593 −$1,593 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15? Jun 13 $5,941 −$5,941 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 6? Jun 13 $6,210 −$6,210 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? Jun 13 $1,377 −$1,377 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 4? Jun 13 $2,700 −$2,700 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 22? Jun 13 $28,740 −$28,740 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 22? Jun 13 $1,629 −$1,629 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 17? Jun 13 $8,713 −$8,713 -100%
Will Stable launch a token in 2025? Jun 13 $2,122 +$881 +42%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? Jun 13 $400 −$400 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23? Jun 13 $10,404 −$9,774 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 8? Jun 13 $52,846 −$41,846 -79%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17? Jun 13 $43,201 −$43,201 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 4? Jun 13 $21,257 −$21,257 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 14? Jun 13 $22,295 −$22,142 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25? Jun 13 $19,794 −$19,794 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4? Jun 13 $1,200 −$1,200 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 14? Jun 13 $20,327 −$20,327 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 18? Jun 13 $721 −$721 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 8? Jun 13 $3,338 −$3,338 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 9? Jun 13 $17,174 −$17,174 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November? Jun 13 $15,860 −$15,860 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 1? Jun 13 $29,230 −$24,093 -82%
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on November 7? Jun 13 $890 −$890 -100%
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? Jun 13 $3,912 −$3,871 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November Jun 13 $1,809 −$1,809 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on November 6? Jun 13 $13,187 −$13,168 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$9,191
world 12% −$2,724
other 9% −$2,343
finance 6% +$4,235
tech 3% −$1,331
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -9.2% -17.8% 8% 8% -94.4%
≤30d 68 -16.2% -24.2% 13% 13% -94.1%
≤90d 127 -20.1% -27.8% 27% 25% -89.9%
all 131 -11.6% -20.0% 29% 27% -88.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 27% -88.6%
10% -27.7% 26% -89.7%
15% ← realistic here -34.7% 23% -90.7%
20% -41.1% 19% -91.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records