trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -53.5% | -57.9% | 20% | 20% | -43.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -53.5% | -57.9% | 20% | 20% | -43.1% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -59.4% | -63.2% | 21% | 21% | -78.5% |
| all | 24 | -59.4% | -63.2% | 21% | 21% | -78.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -63.2% | 21% | -78.5% |
| 10% | -66.8% | 17% | -80.6% |
| 15% | -70.0% | 17% | -82.5% |
| 20% | -72.9% | 8% | -84.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? | Yes | 0¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $58 | +$52 (+1050%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $495 | +$224 | +45% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $69 | −$22 | -32% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $213 | −$211 | -99% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $109 | −$102 | -94% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $268 | +$120 | +45% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $15 | −$12 | -83% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $16 | −$5 | -30% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $98 | −$79 | -81% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $629 | −$595 | -95% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 19 | $11,524 | −$5,823 | -50% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | Apr 19 | $194 | −$187 | -96% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 18? | Apr 18 | $20 | −$18 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET | Apr 18 | $200 | −$93 | -46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | Apr 17 | $40 | −$14 | -34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Apr 17 | $200 | +$43 | +22% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Apr 17 | $10 | −$10 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | Apr 17 | $80 | +$21 | +26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Apr 17 | $100 | +$55 | +55% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026? | Apr 16 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | Apr 16 | $121 | −$46 | -38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15? | Apr 15 | $19 | −$18 | -93% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11? | Apr 11 | $41 | −$38 | -93% |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 09 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |