Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:06:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf2be…e100
crypto · 703 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$131 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$128 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$128
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses397 / 305
Open positions1
Markets (closed)702 / 703
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day205.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 702 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$75
7 days−$327
14 days−$128
30 days−$128
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 36¢ 21¢ $7 $4 −$3 (-41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -48%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$5 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$5 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$8 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$7 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$132
other 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 79¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $4 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 464 -24.5% -31.7% 58% 24% -18.9%
≤30d 702 -4.1% -13.2% 57% 34% -12.5%
≤90d 702 -4.1% -13.2% 57% 34% -12.5%
all 702 -4.1% -13.2% 57% 34% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover205.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 34% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 28% -20.9%
15% -29.1% 18% -28.6%
20% -36.1% 10% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.16 · official $4.16 (match) · 2191 history records