Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:14:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf2d0…0d1a
crypto · 121 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$50 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses61 / 60
Open positions0
Markets (closed)121 / 121
History coverage1d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day542.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 121 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days−$50
14 days−$50
30 days−$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$5 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$4 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$14 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$8 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$6 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$8 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$4 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$9 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$7 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$6 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$9 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$25 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$16 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$9 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 -4.8% -13.9% 50% 32% -12.3%
≤30d 121 -4.8% -13.9% 50% 32% -12.3%
≤90d 121 -4.8% -13.9% 50% 32% -12.3%
all 121 -4.8% -13.9% 50% 32% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover542.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 32% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 19% -20.7%
15% -29.7% 8% -28.4%
20% -36.6% 4% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.40 · official $9.40 (match) · 551 history records