Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:27:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf2d4…e69a
crypto · 226 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$251 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$251 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$251
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses154 / 72
Open positions0
Markets (closed)226 / 226
History coverage14d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day44.4
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$677
7 days−$364
14 days+$251
30 days+$251
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $495 $0 −$495 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $506 +$56 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$35 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$8 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$12 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$21 +27%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$12 +143%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -96%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $107 +$58 +54%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $47 +$19 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$3 -9%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $105 +$35 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$21 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $131 +$23 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$56 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $500 −$495 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$44 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$16 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $147 −$15 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$8 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $664 +$136 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$24 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$10 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$11 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $280 +$30 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +39%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +57%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% +$160
other 14% +$91
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $180 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $42 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $78 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $21 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $15 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $10 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $90 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $15 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $27 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $8 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $13 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $13 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $14 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $14 59m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $13 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $28 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $25 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $26 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $13 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $16 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $26 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $27 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 -13.5% -21.8% 61% 45% -12.6%
≤30d 226 -2.0% -11.3% 68% 50% -7.9%
≤90d 226 -2.0% -11.3% 68% 50% -7.9%
all 226 -2.0% -11.3% 68% 50% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 50% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 43% -16.7%
15% -27.6% 27% -24.7%
20% -34.7% 15% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 817 history records