Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:05:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F2
0xf2d5…7095
crypto · 194 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$45 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$45
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses95 / 99
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)194 / 194
History coverage10d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day56.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 194 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$21
14 days−$45
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 8? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Boston Red Sox 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 9? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +230%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +248%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -69%
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 13 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$9 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$39
sports 4% −$4
other 0% $0
weather 1% −$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 3h
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? SELL Yes 20¢ $0 3h
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) SELL Derrick Lewis 21¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-15.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 -6.7% -15.6% 51% 26% -15.3%
≤30d 194 -6.7% -15.6% 49% 25% -16.3%
≤90d 194 -6.7% -15.6% 49% 25% -16.3%
all 194 -6.7% -15.6% 49% 25% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.6% 25% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 18% -24.3%
15% -31.1% 16% -31.6%
20% -37.8% 10% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 629 history records