Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:55:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf303…a947
other · 124 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$60 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses16 / 107
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)123 / 124
History coverage95d
Avg bet$135
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 1 History 123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$18
14 days−$29
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $59 $60 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 13 $67 $0 +1%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $44 $0 -0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $383 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Jun 12 $62 −$1 -2%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $118 −$1 -0%
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $57 −$1 -2%
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $57 −$1 -2%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $51 $0 -1%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 10 $11 $0 -1%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $58 $0 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 10 $142 $0 -0%
Will Alisson Becker record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA Worl Jun 09 $48 −$9 -19%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $265 $0 -0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 09 $47 $0 -1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Jun 07 $119 −$2 -2%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 07 $221 −$1 -0%
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $47 −$1 -2%
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $102 −$1 -2%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? Jun 05 $48 $0 -1%
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $9 $0 -0%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 05 $76 −$1 -1%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 05 $58 $0 +1%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $210 −$1 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 04 $196 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 04 $50 −$1 -2%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 03 $56 +$1 +2%
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Jun 03 $51 −$1 -2%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $43 −$1 -2%
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 02 $56 −$1 -2%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 02 $144 −$1 -0%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 01 $99 −$1 -1%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 01 $205 −$1 -0%
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? May 31 $220 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 31 $92 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 31 $267 −$1 -0%
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 31 $45 $0 +1%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 30 $57 −$1 -1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $167 −$1 -0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $213 $0 +0%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 29 $47 −$2 -4%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet May 28 $50 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 28 $46 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 28 $53 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 27 $56 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 27 $104 +$1 +1%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 23 $54 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 23 $127 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series? May 22 $116 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? May 22 $63 $0 -0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 21 $95 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 26% −$10
other 22% −$24
sports 22% −$6
crypto 12% −$17
finance 5% +$2
world 5% −$1
tech 4% $0
culture 3% −$2
economics 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY Yes 94¢ $16 1h
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY Yes 94¢ $43 1h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 98¢ $67 2h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 97¢ $67 7h
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 96¢ $44 7h
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $40 14h
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 96¢ $4 15h
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 97¢ $55 15h
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 97¢ $56 22h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? SELL No 90¢ $61 23h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? BUY No 91¢ $62 27h
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 96¢ $54 27h
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 96¢ $55 33h
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 93¢ $56 33h
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $57 41h
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 93¢ $56 42h
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 95¢ $57 2d
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 96¢ $50 2d
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 97¢ $51 2d
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 94¢ $11 2d
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 95¢ $11 2d
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $58 2d
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $58 3d
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $45 3d
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $45 3d
Will Alisson Becker record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA Worl SELL No 79¢ $39 3d
Will Alisson Becker record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA Worl BUY No 96¢ $48 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $52 3d
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $52 3d
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 97¢ $47 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -1.8% -11.2% 6% 0% -10.4%
≤30d 62 -0.9% -10.3% 11% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 114 -0.6% -10.0% 12% 0% -9.9%
all 123 -0.5% -10.0% 13% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 0% -9.8%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.71 · official $59.71 (match) · 451 history records