Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:29:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf32c…f730
crypto · 20 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$298 -35%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$298 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$298
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses9 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)20 / 20
History coverage1d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day178.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 20 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$298
7 days−$298
14 days−$298
30 days−$298
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$43 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $85 −$66 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$6 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $78 +$11 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $111 −$90 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $56 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $77 −$14 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $110 −$66 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$35 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$20 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$14 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$70 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $66 +$15 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$298
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $28 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-22.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -14.2% -22.4% 45% 40% -45.8%
≤30d 20 -14.2% -22.4% 45% 40% -45.8%
≤90d 20 -14.2% -22.4% 45% 40% -45.8%
all 20 -14.2% -22.4% 45% 40% -45.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover178.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.4% 40% -45.8%
10% ← realistic here -29.8% 35% -51.0%
15% -36.6% 25% -55.7%
20% -42.8% 20% -60.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 188 history records