Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:01:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf32d…9c77
world · 67 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses24 / 43
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage520d
Avg bet$35
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $53 +$1 +2%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $35 −$1 -3%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 10 $39 $0 +1%
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Jun 09 $26 −$1 -3%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 07 $76 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 06 $41 $0 -0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 04 $24 $0 -0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 04 $2 $0 +5%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 22 $38 $0 +0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma May 19 $82 $0 +0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? May 19 $43 $0 +0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? May 19 $48 $0 -0%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? May 18 $7 $0 +0%
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamen May 18 $43 $0 +0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? May 17 $1 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? May 16 $39 $0 +1%
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? May 16 $42 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? May 15 $43 $0 +0%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 27 $54 $0 -1%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 26 $43 $0 +1%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 26 $2 $0 +0%
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 26 $6 +$2 +32%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 25 $126 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $6 $0 +0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Apr 24 $54 $0 +0%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Apr 22 $82 $0 -0%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 22 $2 $0 -2%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $48 $0 -0%
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? Apr 20 $36 +$1 +1%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 14 $23 $0 -1%
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Apr 14 $38 $0 -1%
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Apr 14 $41 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 12 $35 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? Apr 10 $1 $0 +4%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 09 $152 $0 +0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 09 $3 $0 +0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 08 $35 $0 +0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 07 $35 $0 +0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 06 $79 $0 -0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 04 $40 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 04 $1 $0 +0%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 03 $15 $0 -0%
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 02 $1 $0 -6%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 mee Mar 30 $41 $0 +0%
Will Trump visit China by April 30? Mar 30 $2 $0 +4%
Netanyahu out by April 30? Mar 28 $45 +$1 +2%
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Mar 28 $38 $0 +0%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Mar 27 $83 $0 +0%
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 27 $43 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 34% $0
other 21% +$8
sports 18% −$14
politics 17% $0
economics 5% $0
finance 2% $0
tech 2% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 37¢ $2 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 37¢ $13 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 36¢ $4 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 36¢ $10 2h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 86¢ $21 13h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 86¢ $14 13h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 89¢ $35 17h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $40 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $39 2d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 62¢ $36 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL No 62¢ $3 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 61¢ $38 3d
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? SELL No 32¢ $6 3d
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? SELL No 32¢ $19 3d
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? BUY No 33¢ $17 3d
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? BUY No 33¢ $9 3d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $39 6d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 93¢ $39 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 6d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 6d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 50¢ $10 7d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 7d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $13 7d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $26 7d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 96¢ $39 7d
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $24 8d
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $24 8d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 8d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 8d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -0.5% -10.0% 50% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 19 +0.1% -9.4% 37% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 58 +0.8% -8.8% 33% 2% -9.3%
all 67 +5.2% -4.8% 36% 6% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.8% 6% -9.8%
10% -13.9% 6% -18.4%
15% -22.2% 4% -26.3%
20% -29.9% 4% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.00 · official $3.00 (match) · 239 history records