Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:37:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf32f…b708
crypto · 442 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,753 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,755 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized−$7,755
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses247 / 194
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$292
Open positions1
Markets (closed)441 / 442
History coverage99d
Avg bet$139
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 441 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$296
7 days−$296
14 days−$396
30 days−$396
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 61¢ 64¢ $42 $44 +$2 (+4%)
Will CF Montréal vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $43 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $72 −$50 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$14 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$9 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$14 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $132 +$86 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$7 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$8 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$38 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$14 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$13 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $37 +$10 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$15 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $29 +$14 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$12 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$28 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$6 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$6 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $87 −$17 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$8 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $14 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$8 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $64 +$15 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $312 −$300 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $51 −$5 -9%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $51 −$5 -10%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $51 −$5 -10%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $51 −$4 -8%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $51 −$4 -9%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $51 −$6 -11%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? Jun 11 $51 −$7 -13%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $110 −$107 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 53% −$392
crypto 29% −$3,372
world 10% −$3,331
other 6% −$371
weather 2% −$273
politics 0% −$14
tech 0% −$1
finance 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $43 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $44 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $43 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $43 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $21 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $51 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $56 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $51 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $65 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $51 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $55 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $47 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $58 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $44 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $217 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $105 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $27 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $32 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $24 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $41 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +1.1% -8.5% 68% 62% -22.5%
≤30d 53 -2.1% -11.4% 64% 58% -25.6%
≤90d 430 -13.3% -21.5% 56% 44% -17.7%
all 441 -13.3% -21.5% 56% 44% -20.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.5% 44% -20.6%
10% -29.0% 28% -28.2%
15% -35.9% 14% -35.1%
20% -42.2% 8% -41.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43.72 · official $43.72 (match) · 1192 history records