Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:59:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf338…4514
sports · 229 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$1,255 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$645 · open −$64
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$645
Unrealized−$64
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses105 / 123
Whale WR (big bets)91%
Est. fees paid−$83
Open positions1
Markets (closed)228 / 229
History coverage225d
Avg bet$99
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 228 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$75
7 days−$35
14 days+$1,278
30 days+$1,137
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs ONIC 43¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Jazz vs. Warriors Jazz 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Mavericks Rockets 72¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Lakers vs. 76ers 76ers 27¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Clippers Clippers 69¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Maryland Terrapins UNLV Runnin Rebels 63¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Predators Avalanche 7¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Lakers Lakers 46¢ 0¢ $1,003 $0 −$1,003 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Heat Heat 20¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Suns Suns 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Celtics vs. 76ers Celtics 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) Weili 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $57 −$56 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 14 $10 +$10 +104%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $86 +$14 +16%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $73 +$27 +38%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$45 +442%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $47 −$25 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Jun 09 $107 +$4 +4%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $108 +$7 +6%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 09 $101 +$9 +9%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $55 +$71 +130%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $15 −$14 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $24 −$24 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $11 −$11 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $10 +$5 +50%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $50 +$11 +23%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $15 +$28 +180%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 06 $127 −$6 -5%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $5 +$10 +197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 05 $11 +$89 +835%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $102 +$46 +46%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $45 −$44 -97%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 04 $643 +$319 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 04 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 04 $21 +$31 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 04 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 04 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 04 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 04 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 04 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 04 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$11 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 04 $16 −$15 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% +$944
crypto 9% −$444
other 8% +$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 1h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind BUY ONIC 17¢ $10 3h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind SELL ONIC 72¢ $1 4h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind SELL ONIC 72¢ $7 4h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind BUY ONIC 61¢ $36 4h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind BUY ONIC 61¢ $2 4h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Ind BUY ONIC 61¢ $24 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 4h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 39¢ $57 5h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 38¢ $11 7h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 38¢ $12 7h
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) SELL Knicks 100¢ $20 12h
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) BUY Knicks 49¢ $10 14h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL Monte 28¢ $2 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 13¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 -28.0% -34.9% 37% 26% -13.4%
≤30d 98 +45.8% +31.9% 35% 32% +17.4%
≤90d 98 +45.8% +31.9% 35% 32% +17.4%
all 228 +13.8% +2.9% 46% 38% -6.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.9% 38% -6.7%
10% -6.9% 30% -15.6%
15% -15.9% 26% -23.8%
20% -24.2% 22% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.07 · official $0.07 (match) · 751 history records