Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:54:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F3 0xf33e…6d62 crypto 484 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d only
✗ bot/MM pace (314 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2 (+0%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate74%359W / 125L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day313.8pace
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$50
7 days+$50
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 78% +$23
other 22% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (314 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 -1.4% -10.8% 59% 50% -7.8%
≤30d 484 -2.3% -11.6% 74% 26% -9.6%
≤90d 484 -2.3% -11.6% 74% 26% -9.6%
all 484 -2.3% -11.6% 74% 26% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover313.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 26% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 20% -18.2%
15% -27.8% 15% -26.1%
20% -34.9% 8% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
64% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses359 / 125
Open positions0
Markets (closed)484 / 484
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day313.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 484 Trades
no open positions (31 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$11 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 18 $28 −$20 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $34 +$22 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$28 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $13 +$5 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $16 −$12 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $29 +$12 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 17 $16 +$5 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $30 +$11 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $31 +$13 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$3 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $15 +$8 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $16 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $26 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $22 −$17 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $8 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $9 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records