trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $80 | +$17 | +21% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $22 | −$22 | -99% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $83 | +$80 | +96% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $49 | −$48 | -99% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $26 | +$23 | +90% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 11 | $99 | −$97 | -98% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 09 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? | Apr 08 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 08 | $18 | +$23 | +129% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Apr 07 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 18 | $38 | −$38 | -100% |
| Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela | Mar 18 | $14 | +$32 | +223% |
| Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st mont | Feb 07 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game? | Feb 07 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 390m | Jan 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting? | Jan 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Jan 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump and Machado handshake last 15 seconds or longer? | Jan 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump and Machado handshake last 10–15 seconds? | Jan 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump and Machado handshake last 6–10 seconds? | Jan 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | Jan 09 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | Jan 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 | Jan 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 | Jan 08 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 08 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -43.6% | -49.0% | 33% | 33% | -32.7% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -43.6% | -49.0% | 33% | 33% | -32.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -19.0% | -26.7% | 40% | 40% | -31.9% |
| all | 28 | -56.6% | -60.7% | 21% | 21% | -47.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -60.7% | 21% | -47.0% |
| 10% | -64.5% | 18% | -52.1% |
| 15% | -67.9% | 18% | -56.7% |
| 20% | -71.1% | 18% | -61.0% |