Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:52:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf371…02cf
other · 6 markets active 2h ago
1.5score
+$6 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)2 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown99%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 4 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 25¢ $5 $11 +$6 (+127%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Team WE 19¢ 19¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% $0
sports 40% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $5 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL KT Rolster 10¢ $4 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 1h
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Team WE 19¢ $3 9h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $5 9h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +0.6% -9.0% 50% 50% -9.3%
≤30d 2 +0.6% -9.0% 50% 50% -9.3%
≤90d 2 +0.6% -9.0% 50% 50% -9.3%
all 2 +0.6% -9.0% 50% 50% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.0% 50% -9.3%
10% -17.7% 50% -17.9%
15% -25.7% 50% -25.9%
20% -32.9% 50% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.06 · official $24.06 (match) · 11 history records