Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:42:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf37c…3db8
crypto · 980 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$79 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$184 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$184
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses612 / 368
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)980 / 980
History coverage69d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day24.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 980 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$13
14 days−$67
30 days−$311
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +28%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +73%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $8 +$3 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$173
other 1% +$11
weather 1% −$19
sports 0% −$5
world 0% +$1
politics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $6 50m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $7 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $6 15h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 16h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 19h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $7 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $7 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $8 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-14.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -5.8% -14.8% 74% 61% -12.1%
≤30d 520 -12.2% -20.5% 71% 62% -15.0%
≤90d 980 -5.7% -14.7% 62% 54% -11.9%
all 980 -5.7% -14.7% 62% 54% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.7% 54% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 29% -20.3%
15% -30.3% 14% -28.0%
20% -37.1% 9% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2521 history records