trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +74.0% | +57.4% | 57% | 48% | +13.6% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +73.6% | +57.1% | 60% | 52% | +18.4% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +73.6% | +57.1% | 60% | 52% | +18.4% |
| all | 27 | +60.8% | +45.5% | 56% | 48% | +16.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +45.5% | 48% | +16.5% |
| 10% | +31.5% | 48% | +5.4% |
| 15% | +18.8% | 48% | -4.8% |
| 20% | +7.2% | 44% | -14.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $50 | $57 | +$7 (+15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$26 | +127% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $21 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $30 | +$14 | +48% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$31 | +307% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$13 | +124% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$35 | +344% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$57 | +1116% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$8 | +80% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$10 | +203% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$12 | +57% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $45 | −$5 | -11% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 13 | $10 | +$8 | +76% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $20 | +$24 | +117% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $82 | +$1 | +2% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $26 | +$17 | +67% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $31 | +$22 | +71% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Feb 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |