Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3a7…2fd8
crypto · 47 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$26,169 +88%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$26,106 · open −$37
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$205
Realized+$26,106
Unrealized−$37
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses249 / 281
Whale WR (big bets)35%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)530 / 47
History coverage1d
Avg bet$633
Trades / day3383.0
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 530 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$26,106
7 days+$26,106
14 days+$26,106
30 days+$26,106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 48¢ 50¢ $85 $88 +$4 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 52¢ 50¢ $57 $54 −$3 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 94¢ 96¢ $49 $51 +$1 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 19¢ 4¢ $42 $8 −$35 (-82%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+4%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+84%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+15%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$292 -66254%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$161 +658%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$119 -61122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$92 +231%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$70 -54547%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$213 -108913%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$204 +1017%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$316 +1209%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$164 +1879%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$61 +388%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$178 +761%
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$159 -300%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$456 +15078%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$227 +1185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$69 +114%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$60 -341%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$287 -768%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$78 -167%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$262 +634%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$407 +2533%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$19 +2167%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$19 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$106 +823%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$93 +627%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$227 +746%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $79 −$273 -345%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$117 +878%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$72 +254%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$137 +665%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$430 +2821%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$378 -302%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$149
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $25 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $49 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+351.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 530 +398.6% +351.1% 47% 45% +46.4%
≤30d 530 +398.6% +351.1% 47% 45% +46.4%
≤90d 530 +398.6% +351.1% 47% 45% +46.4%
all 530 +398.6% +351.1% 47% 45% +46.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3383.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +351.1% 45% +46.4%
10% ← realistic here +308.0% 44% +32.4%
15% +268.6% 44% +19.6%
20% +232.4% 43% +7.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $204.86 · official $200.76 · 3500 history records