Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:50:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3a8…bf33
crypto · 1420 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$52 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$52
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses1140 / 279
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1419 / 1420
History coverage23d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day105.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1419 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$11
14 days−$8
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 95¢ 64¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 321 -3.3% -12.5% 90% 11% -12.4%
≤30d 1419 -4.6% -13.7% 80% 22% -11.5%
≤90d 1419 -4.6% -13.7% 80% 22% -11.5%
all 1419 -4.6% -13.7% 80% 22% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover105.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 22% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 10% -19.9%
15% -29.5% 5% -27.7%
20% -36.4% 2% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.36 · official $1.55 (match) · 3450 history records