Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:29:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3ab…b1ff
other · 46 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses29 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage481d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? Jun 14 $92 $0 +0%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 14 $31 $0 -0%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 10 $8 $0 +5%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $3 $0 +5%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 10 $124 $0 +0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 09 $30 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 07 $42 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 06 $30 $0 +0%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Jun 06 $30 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 05 $33 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Jun 03 $30 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? Dec 19 $2 $0 -13%
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? Jun 26 $7 $0 +4%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 French Open? Jun 04 $7 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May? Jun 02 $7 $0 +2%
Will Sam Altman buy TikTok? May 30 $6 $0 +0%
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 23–30? May 28 $3 −$2 -79%
Ethereum all time high by June 30? May 27 $15 $0 +0%
Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo? May 27 $9 $0 +2%
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL? May 26 $9 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $112K on May 23 at 5 PM ET? May 25 $9 $0 +5%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? May 23 $8 $0 +0%
Will 'My Hero Academia: You’re Next' win Crunchyroll's Film of the Yea May 21 $8 $0 +0%
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more betwe May 21 $5 $0 +5%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? May 20 $5 +$1 +12%
Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL? May 19 $3 $0 +4%
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese May 19 $5 $0 +3%
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files? May 18 $5 $0 +0%
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? May 17 $5 $0 -1%
Will egg prices be less than $4.75 in April? May 15 $7 $0 +1%
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec May 10 $6 $0 +0%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? May 10 $6 $0 +0%
Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? May 09 $6 $0 +0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? May 08 $6 $0 +0%
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? May 08 $2 −$1 -84%
Will Estonia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final? May 07 $6 $0 +0%
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? May 07 $4 $0 -2%
Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election? May 07 $5 $0 -0%
Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the May 06 $8 $0 -1%
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority? May 06 $8 $0 -1%
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? May 06 $9 $0 -0%
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? May 06 $10 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? May 06 $9 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 14? Mar 15 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February Mar 04 $9 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 62% +$1
other 22% −$2
crypto 6% $0
politics 6% $0
economics 2% $0
weather 1% $0
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $30 1h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $30 2h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $31 6h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $31 9h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $31 12h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $31 16h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL Yes 4¢ $1 37h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY Yes 4¢ $0 40h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY Yes 4¢ $1 40h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $30 44h
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $30 46h
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL Yes 22¢ $2 3d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? SELL Yes 22¢ $7 3d
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? BUY Yes 21¢ $8 3d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $3 4d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 4d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $30 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $24 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $6 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $9 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $22 4d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $30 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL No 73¢ $30 5d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY No 73¢ $30 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $30 5d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $10 6d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $20 6d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 95¢ $10 7d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 95¢ $10 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)+3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +1.4% -8.3% 71% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 12 +0.8% -8.8% 58% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 12 +0.8% -8.8% 58% 0% -9.3%
all 46 +14.5% +3.6% 63% 2% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.6% 2% -9.5%
10% -6.3% 2% -18.2%
15% -15.4% 2% -26.1%
20% -23.7% 2% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 150 history records