trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | -13.3% | -21.5% | 46% | 46% | -40.2% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -11.3% | -19.7% | 48% | 48% | -39.8% |
| ≤90d | 33 | -9.3% | -17.9% | 48% | 48% | -37.7% |
| all | 33 | -9.3% | -17.9% | 48% | 48% | -37.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.9% | 48% | -37.7% |
| 10% | -25.8% | 48% | -43.7% |
| 15% | -32.9% | 48% | -49.1% |
| 20% | -39.5% | 33% | -54.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 71¢ | 72¢ | $1,491 | $1,522 | +$32 (+2%) |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Colombia | 45¢ | 46¢ | $450 | $465 | +$15 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $47 | +$103 | +216% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2,004 | −$1,976 | -99% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2,373 | −$2,356 | -99% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $981 | +$408 | +42% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $627 | −$620 | -99% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1,074 | +$426 | +40% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $327 | −$320 | -98% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $597 | −$590 | -99% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $1,003 | +$1,097 | +109% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,545 | −$1,526 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,254 | −$1,240 | -99% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $241 | +$307 | +127% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $756 | −$745 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $789 | +$711 | +90% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $617 | +$383 | +62% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $923 | −$916 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $342 | +$458 | +134% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $871 | +$379 | +44% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 13 | $906 | +$693 | +76% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $1,053 | −$1,041 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $198 | −$194 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $163 | −$160 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1,000 | +$416 | +42% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | May 30 | $447 | −$443 | -99% |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 30 | $216 | +$157 | +72% |
| Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 21 | $205 | +$85 | +42% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 11 | $1,260 | −$1,260 | -100% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | May 07 | $141 | −$141 | -100% |
| FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 | May 07 | $209 | +$291 | +140% |
| Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | May 07 | $555 | +$345 | +62% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qual | Apr 13 | $972 | −$964 | -99% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Mar 22 | $980 | +$941 | +96% |