trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -32.0% | -38.4% | 22% | 22% | -31.0% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -18.7% | -26.4% | 35% | 35% | -18.9% |
| ≤90d | 51 | -16.1% | -24.1% | 51% | 45% | +1.2% |
| all | 51 | -16.1% | -24.1% | 51% | 45% | +1.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.1% | 45% | +1.2% |
| 10% | -31.3% | 35% | -8.5% |
| 15% | -38.0% | 22% | -17.3% |
| 20% | -44.0% | 12% | -25.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 25¢ | 21¢ | $50 | $42 | −$7 (-15%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 19¢ | $32 | $38 | +$6 (+18%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 15¢ | $18 | $29 | +$12 (+66%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $32 | $28 | −$4 (-14%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $22 | $22 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $20 | $15 | −$5 (-24%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $8 | $11 | +$3 (+37%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $11 | $11 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 5¢ | $17 | $10 | −$6 (-39%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $5 | $6 | +$1 (+22%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+3%) |
| New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers | New York Yankees | 45¢ | 100¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+122%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 24 | $20 | −$5 | -24% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals | Jun 24 | $61 | −$9 | -14% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds | Jun 24 | $51 | −$17 | -33% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets | Jun 23 | $101 | +$26 | +26% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $101 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$1 | -57% |
| Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees | Jun 19 | $101 | +$24 | +24% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics | Jun 18 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics | Jun 17 | $111 | −$11 | -10% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs | Jun 16 | $76 | +$24 | +32% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $53 | −$44 | -84% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$1 | -52% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Jun 03 | $54 | +$34 | +62% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Jun 02 | $58 | −$58 | -100% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | May 31 | $54 | +$38 | +70% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $39 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $102 | +$42 | +41% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $850 | +$100 | +12% |
| Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels | May 20 | $71 | +$7 | +10% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $180 | −$180 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $100 | +$50 | +50% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $490 | +$310 | +63% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $890 | +$60 | +7% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 07 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 07 | $750 | +$10 | +1% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $1,350 | −$1,350 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $1,350 | +$930 | +69% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 25 | $440 | −$440 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 25 | $1,140 | −$410 | -36% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $840 | −$840 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 24 | $550 | +$150 | +27% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 23 | $100 | +$11 | +11% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 22 | $560 | +$120 | +21% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $960 | +$188 | +20% |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Apr 08 | $800 | +$199 | +25% |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Apr 08 | $620 | +$700 | +113% |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Apr 08 | $1,080 | +$280 | +26% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Apr 07 | $5,550 | +$2,324 | +42% |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | Apr 07 | $1,300 | +$460 | +35% |
| Hornets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 05 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Apr 05 | $1,500 | +$372 | +25% |
| Magic vs. Mavericks | Apr 04 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Timberwolves vs. 76ers | Apr 04 | $1,000 | +$170 | +17% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Apr 03 | $10 | +$9 | +93% |
| Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 03 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Apr 03 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Pistons | Apr 03 | $10 | +$4 | +44% |
| Suns vs. Hornets | Apr 02 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Kings vs. Raptors | Apr 02 | $11 | −$4 | -38% |