Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:40:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3ce…8bc6
crypto · 812 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,041 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,086 · open −$45
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,008
Realized+$3,086
Unrealized−$45
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses803 / 6
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)809 / 812
Avg bet$652
Trades / day2663.0
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 4 History 809 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,086
7 days+$3,086
14 days+$3,086
30 days+$3,086
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $364 $363 −$1 (-0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 99¢ 57¢ $521 $303 −$218 (-42%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 0¢ 94¢ $0 $190 +$190 (+0%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 99¢ 90¢ $168 $153 −$15 (-9%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $469 $0 −$469 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1,979 $0 −$1,979 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $536 $0 −$536 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $469 −$469 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,979 −$1,979 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $868 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,303 +$13 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $145 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $533 +$5 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $292 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1,485 +$15 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $167 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $704 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $214 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $228 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $587 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2,972 +$28 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $192 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2,966 +$34 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $183 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $36 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $124 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $187 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,981 +$19 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $363 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1,981 +$19 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $287 +$3 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1,980 +$20 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $162 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $142 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $344 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $940 +$9 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $307 +$3 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1,981 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2,458 +$42 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $174 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1,486 +$14 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $117 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$5,146
other 5% +$429
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $462 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $168 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $464 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $39 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $221 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 5m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $145 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $90 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $531 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 11m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $94 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 809 +2.7% -7.1% 99% 0% -9.1%
≤30d 809 +2.7% -7.1% 99% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 809 +2.7% -7.1% 99% 0% -9.1%
all 809 +2.7% -7.1% 99% 0% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2663.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.1% 0% -9.1%
10% -16.0% 0% -17.8%
15% ← realistic here -24.1% 0% -25.7%
20% -31.5% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,008.20 · official $1,101.70 · 3500 history records