Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3ef…ca6b
sports · 109 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$153,668 -68%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$152,922 · open −$542
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,918
Realized−$152,922
Unrealized−$542
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses83 / 489
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$4,609
Open positions9
Markets (closed)572 / 109
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2,075
Trades / day1182.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 9 History 572 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$150,985
7 days−$152,922
14 days−$152,922
30 days−$152,922
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 78¢ 98¢ $2,471 $3,102 +$631 (+26%)
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Prestige - Map 1 Winner Prestige 72¢ 100¢ $1,112 $1,552 +$439 (+40%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 88¢ 100¢ $616 $700 +$84 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 41¢ 47¢ $558 $640 +$82 (+15%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 87¢ 100¢ $448 $515 +$67 (+15%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Paper Rex 76¢ 57¢ $389 $291 −$98 (-25%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner GenOne 36¢ 44¢ $45 $56 +$11 (+24%)
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Prestige (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs Prestige 52¢ 100¢ $26 $51 +$24 (+93%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+127%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 43¢ 0¢ $1,223 $1 −$1,222 (-100%)
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffs KPI Gaming 62¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+61%)
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner LOS 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Valorant: University War vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season University War 69¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+45%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee - Game 2 Winner Vitality.Bee 32¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+212%)
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 1 Winner Conviction 39¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+157%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner CYBERSHOKE Prospects 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 1 Winner GMBLERS ESPORTS 32¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 48¢ 0¢ $952 $0 −$952 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 Winner Procyon Gaming 68¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs MASQ (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B MASQ 35¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Ninjas in Pyjamas 37¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Prestige - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $441 −$464 -105%
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs Prestige (BO3) - European Pro League Re Jun 12 $26 +$76 +287%
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Jun 12 $0 +$7 +1427%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$63 +11709%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 12 $1 +$73 +11845%
Valorant: University War vs OXEN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regu Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$297 +126994%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Vitality.Bee - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$29 +42689%
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winne Jun 12 $178 −$178 -100%
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 −$68 -137%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $952 −$977 -103%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs BESTIA Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs MASQ (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Jun 12 $153 −$155 -102%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $44 −$56 -128%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $491 −$418 -85%
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $96 +$35 +37%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $163 −$229 -140%
LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$104 +1610%
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Se Jun 12 $369 −$337 -91%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 −$131 -538%
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs BESTIA Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$15 -91%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,839 −$1,855 -101%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $287 −$287 -100%
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Project 91 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$4 -240%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Prestige (BO3) - European Pro League Regular G Jun 12 $661 −$802 -121%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $30 −$58 -195%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $861 −$1,845 -214%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $65 −$65 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $176 −$163 -93%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,076 −$1,081 -100%
Valorant: KRÜ Spark vs 9z Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,181 −$4,235 -101%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
LoL: Conviction vs Supernova - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $539 −$908 -168%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $41 −$140 -341%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $584 −$814 -140%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $105 −$485 -461%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Prestige - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 −$46 -260%
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs ex-KRÜ Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$8 -124%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$4,904
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 36¢ $38 3m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 36¢ $3 3m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY GenOne 34¢ $4 4m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Paper Rex 81¢ $275 5m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Paper Rex 71¢ $30 7m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Paper Rex 62¢ $6 10m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Paper Rex 66¢ $80 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 41¢ $554 21m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 91¢ $958 26m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 82¢ $228 31m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 86¢ $94 34m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 43¢ $1,331 34m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 75¢ $8 38m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 75¢ $38 38m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 75¢ $422 38m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 68¢ $6 38m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 76¢ $4 38m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 76¢ $184 38m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 70¢ $4 39m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 70¢ $71 39m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 71¢ $4 42m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 8¢ $11 42m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 8¢ $16 42m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 71¢ $211 42m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 68¢ $119 42m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 67¢ $5 42m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 67¢ $32 42m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 67¢ $14 42m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 91¢ $671 42m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 67¢ $176 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-50.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 572 -45.5% -50.7% 15% 12% -46.1%
≤30d 572 -45.5% -50.7% 15% 12% -46.1%
≤90d 572 -45.5% -50.7% 15% 12% -46.1%
all 572 -45.5% -50.7% 15% 12% -46.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1182.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.7% 12% -46.1%
10% -55.4% 7% -51.3%
15% ← realistic here -59.7% 6% -56.0%
20% -63.7% 5% -60.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,918.12 · official $6,914.73 (match) · 3500 history records