Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:06:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3f2…5bd6
crypto · 1686 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$67 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$164 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$164
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses1340 / 346
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1686 / 1686
History coverage15d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day122.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 0 History 1686 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$69
14 days−$168
30 days−$164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$147
other 6% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 21m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 7h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 837 -2.3% -11.6% 88% 21% -12.1%
≤30d 1686 -1.0% -10.5% 79% 36% -11.8%
≤90d 1686 -1.0% -10.5% 79% 36% -11.8%
all 1686 -1.0% -10.5% 79% 36% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover122.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 36% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 24% -20.3%
15% -26.9% 18% -28.0%
20% -34.0% 13% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records