Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:32:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3f3…9e5b
crypto · 1269 markets active 5h ago
0.0score
−$589 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$589 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$589
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses561 / 763
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$124
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1324 / 1269
Avg bet$17
Trades / day123.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1324 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$242
7 days−$309
14 days−$442
30 days−$589
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 42¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION Challengers 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PlayTime 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$9 -186%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$1,038
sports 45% +$638
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-24.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 612 -12.7% -21.0% 45% 39% -19.0%
≤30d 1324 -16.6% -24.5% 42% 34% -11.7%
≤90d 1324 -16.6% -24.5% 42% 34% -11.7%
all 1324 -16.6% -24.5% 42% 34% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover123.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.5% 34% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -31.8% 24% -20.2%
15% -38.4% 16% -27.9%
20% -44.4% 11% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records