Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:04:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F3
0xf3fc…0c63
crypto · 1790 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$391 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$393 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$393
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses1580 / 400
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1980 / 1790
History coverage13d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day145.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 1980 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$342
7 days−$353
14 days−$393
30 days−$393
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 22¢ 52¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+134%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+178%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+156%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+155%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$54
other 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $0 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $0 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $0 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $0 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $0 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $0 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $0 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $0 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 44m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 265 -76.1% -78.3% 10% 6% -85.3%
≤30d 1980 -10.8% -19.3% 80% 21% -23.4%
≤90d 1980 -10.8% -19.3% 80% 21% -23.4%
all 1980 -10.8% -19.3% 80% 21% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover145.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 21% -23.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 6% -30.7%
15% -34.1% 3% -37.4%
20% -40.5% 2% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.33 · official $2.34 · 3500 history records