Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T18:00:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F4 0xf40a…e716 crypto 211 markets active 4d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (1629 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$1,323 (+22%) realized +$1,323 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate47%99W / 111L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$29per market
Trades / day1628.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$555
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1629 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 210 -2.4% -11.7% 47% 43% -17.9%
≤30d 210 -2.4% -11.7% 47% 43% -17.9%
≤90d 210 -2.4% -11.7% 47% 43% -17.9%
all 210 -2.4% -11.7% 47% 43% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1628.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 43% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 41% -25.7%
15% -27.9% 40% -32.9%
20% -35.0% 40% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
13.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$23 vs −$25 · ×0.9 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,323
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses99 / 111
Open positions0
Markets (closed)210 / 211
History coverage2d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day1628.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 210 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $24 +$13 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $52 +$33 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $16 +$33 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $49 +$40 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $62 +$43 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $56 +$54 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $33 +$27 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$14 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$20 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$44 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$43 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $49 +$40 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$28 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $68 +$56 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $49 +$40 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.