Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F4
0xf424…9723
sports · 77 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,283 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,101 · open −$118
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$160
Realized−$4,101
Unrealized−$118
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses58 / 47
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$2,141
Open positions3
Markets (closed)105 / 77
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1,352
Trades / day862.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,471
7 days−$4,101
14 days−$4,101
30 days−$4,101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 22¢ 47¢ $73 $157 +$84 (+114%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 75¢ 2¢ $138 $3 −$135 (-98%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 26¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 20¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 5¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner RUSTEC 58¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 5¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Monte 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 5¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 4¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner CYBERSHOKE Esports 47¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 35¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Aurora Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner ASTRAL 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 1 Winner K27 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 11¢ 0¢ $302 $0 −$302 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Vitality 6¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$18 +4884%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$22 +331%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $0 +$10 +2616%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $1 +$21 +1676%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$25 +1005%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$240 -2340%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$28 +1530%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S Jun 12 $8 +$24 +306%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$165 -6790%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$4 +1283%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 −$2 -2764%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$4 -315%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$6 +8411%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs Jun 12 $11 +$155 +1438%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $310 −$346 -112%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $1 +$7 +1107%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 12 $615 −$690 -112%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$2 +2714%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$3 +34%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 −$10 -4198%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$7 +408%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $1 −$8 -1015%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $0 +$2 +644%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $6 +$25 +388%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$3 +728%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St Jun 12 $2 +$51 +2292%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 +$4 +1010%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $0 −$2 -2265%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$8 +1128%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $324 +$192 +59%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,114 −$98 -9%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $461 +$29 +6%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,621 −$15 -1%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $452 −$17 -4%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $441 +$43 +10%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $583 −$164 -28%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,976 +$211 +11%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $726 −$154 -21%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $494 +$62 +12%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $607 +$51 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,905 +$67 +2%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 11 $1,835 +$46 +2%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,666 −$132 -5%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,211 −$56 -5%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,135 +$149 +13%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $803 −$68 -8%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $447 +$13 +3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $340 +$54 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$3,180
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $32 1m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 76¢ $141 2m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 84¢ $58 6m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 78¢ $93 6m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 81¢ $176 11m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 19¢ $56 11m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 67¢ $68 13m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 70¢ $83 14m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 41¢ $150 16m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 38¢ $60 19m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 42¢ $93 20m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 97¢ $31 22m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 96¢ $115 25m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 91¢ $110 26m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 87¢ $19 45m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 26¢ $69 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 26¢ $21 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 26¢ $20 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 26¢ $4 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 36¢ $4 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 59¢ $30 50m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 36¢ $64 50m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 34¢ $66 50m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 39¢ $63 50m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 73¢ $37 50m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 37¢ $9 51m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 39¢ $9 51m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 65¢ $134 51m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 45¢ $27 56m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 82¢ $25 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+179.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 +208.8% +179.4% 55% 35% -12.6%
≤30d 105 +208.8% +179.4% 55% 35% -12.6%
≤90d 105 +208.8% +179.4% 55% 35% -12.6%
all 105 +208.8% +179.4% 55% 35% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover862.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +179.4% 35% -12.6%
10% +152.7% 28% -21.0%
15% ← realistic here +128.3% 25% -28.6%
20% +105.9% 22% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $159.87 · official $159.87 (match) · 3500 history records