trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -3.9% | -13.0% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 24 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $179 | $179 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $179 | $179 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | $15 | $15 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $379 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $407 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $190 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 28 | $457 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $377 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $189 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $3 | −$1 | -19% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $359 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $198 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $656 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 27 | $4 | −$1 | -22% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $182 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $548 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 26 | $398 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $220 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $2 | $0 | -21% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $558 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 25 | $598 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | -19% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $159 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $198 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 24 | $159 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025? | Dec 17 | $19 | $0 | +2% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 20 | $49 | $0 | -0% |