trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +16.9% | +5.7% | 100% | 20% | +8.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -1.5% | -10.8% | 90% | 10% | -12.4% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -1.5% | -10.8% | 90% | 10% | -12.4% |
| all | 10 | -1.5% | -10.8% | 90% | 10% | -12.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.8% | 10% | -12.4% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 10% | -20.8% |
| 15% | -27.2% | 10% | -28.5% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 10% | -35.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 98¢ | $604 | $608 | +$5 (+1%) |
| Will Donald Trump dance on June 27, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 59¢ | $134 | $80 | −$54 (-40%) |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | No | 4¢ | 1¢ | $11 | $3 | −$8 (-70%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026? | Jun 29 | $478 | +$358 | +75% |
| Will Donald Trump dance on June 25, 2026? | Jun 26 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombia | Jun 26 | $547 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian | Jun 26 | $540 | +$6 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026? | Jun 26 | $500 | +$41 | +8% |
| Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday? | Jun 21 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump dance on June 16, 2026? | Jun 20 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Jun 20 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 20 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? | Jun 17 | $492 | −$489 | -100% |