Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:31:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F4
0xf478…4fe0
crypto · 2045 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$3,449 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,449 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,449
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses818 / 555
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1373 / 2045
History coverage6d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day457.8
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1373 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$107
7 days+$3,449
14 days+$3,449
30 days+$3,449
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+85%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4,143
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $29 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $50 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $45 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $14 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $29 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $14 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $15 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $14 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $7 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+27.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1373 +40.4% +27.0% 60% 43% +10.7%
≤30d 1373 +40.4% +27.0% 60% 43% +10.7%
≤90d 1373 +40.4% +27.0% 60% 43% +10.7%
all 1373 +40.4% +27.0% 60% 43% +10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover457.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +27.0% 43% +10.7%
10% ← realistic here +14.8% 42% +0.1%
15% +3.7% 40% -9.6%
20% -6.4% 38% -18.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.25 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records