Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:44:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F4
0xf490…63af
sports · 51 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$115 · open −$56
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$240
Realized+$115
Unrealized−$56
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses24 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$727
Open positions2
Markets (closed)49 / 51
History coverage9d
Avg bet$855
Trades / day51.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,600
7 days+$115
14 days+$115
30 days+$115
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner T1 50¢ 40¢ $295 $239 −$56 (-19%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 79¢ 95¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 19¢ 0¢ $511 $0 −$511 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 63¢ 0¢ $1,222 $0 −$1,222 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 50¢ 0¢ $540 $0 −$540 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 40¢ 0¢ $662 $0 −$662 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 23¢ 0¢ $1,379 $0 −$1,379 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 24¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $929 +$2,050 +221%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $606 +$447 +74%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1,593 +$187 +12%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $2,365 +$414 +18%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $4,097 −$1,211 -30%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,510 +$4,574 +182%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $520 −$511 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1,011 +$301 +30%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $664 −$662 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $290 +$10 +3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $548 −$540 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,403 −$1,379 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $976 −$84 -9%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $83 −$83 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $117 −$117 -100%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $236 −$236 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,252 −$1,059 -85%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $997 −$997 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1,359 −$1,359 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $155 +$9 +6%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $122 +$64 +52%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $259 +$283 +109%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,382 +$1,723 +125%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $1,285 +$1,044 +81%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $459 +$70 +15%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $219 −$219 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 09 $435 −$435 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $465 −$465 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $706 −$706 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $606 +$64 +11%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $564 +$335 +59%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,748 −$1,029 -59%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $1,394 +$1,113 +80%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $1,119 −$739 -66%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 08 $877 −$877 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $84 +$170 +203%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $209 +$47 +22%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $59 −$59 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $660 +$10 +2%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $869 −$269 -31%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $525 −$525 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $274 −$274 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,394 −$1,394 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,277 +$739 +58%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $678 +$1,119 +165%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $483 +$13 +3%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $453 −$453 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,268 +$1,007 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$59
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $299 3m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $50 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $163 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $8 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $81 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $10 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $5 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $5 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $1 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $11 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $1,352 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $66 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $117 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $40 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $6 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $237 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $23 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $376 15m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $918 15m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $2,979 32m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 30¢ $240 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 29¢ $327 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 32¢ $361 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 100¢ $1,053 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 57¢ $133 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 57¢ $13 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 57¢ $83 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 57¢ $7 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 57¢ $37 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 57¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -14.4% -22.5% 49% 41% -9.2%
≤30d 49 -14.4% -22.5% 49% 41% -9.2%
≤90d 49 -14.4% -22.5% 49% 41% -9.2%
all 49 -14.4% -22.5% 49% 41% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.5% 41% -9.2%
10% -30.0% 33% -17.9%
15% ← realistic here -36.7% 27% -25.9%
20% -42.9% 27% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $239.91 · official $239.91 (match) · 486 history records