trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 23% | 23% | -18.7% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +15.0% | +4.1% | 27% | 27% | +17.8% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +15.0% | +4.1% | 27% | 27% | +17.8% |
| all | 20 | -13.7% | -21.9% | 20% | 20% | -51.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.9% | 20% | -51.9% |
| 10% | -29.4% | 20% | -56.5% |
| 15% | -36.2% | 20% | -60.7% |
| 20% | -42.5% | 15% | -64.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $60 | $68 | +$8 (+13%) |
| Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? | Yes | 63¢ | 66¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+5%) |
| President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | No | 14¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 68¢ | 66¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches? | Yes | 25¢ | 16¢ | $15 | $10 | −$5 (-36%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$16 | +314% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 18 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$62 | +619% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Jun 16 | $3 | −$2 | -64% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | Jun 16 | $2 | +$1 | +37% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Jun 11 | $6 | −$6 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Jun 11 | $7 | −$7 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | −$1 | -19% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | Jun 11 | $21 | −$20 | -96% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 11 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | Jun 11 | $51 | −$3 | -7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | May 31 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $31 | +$80 | +262% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025? | Aug 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Aug 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Aug 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | Aug 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | Jun 30 | $220 | −$220 | -100% |