Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T16:23:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F4 0xf4ef…94e1 crypto 728 markets active 1h ago coverage 27d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 26d only
✗ bot/MM pace (102 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$13 (-0%) realized −$13 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate56%405W / 323L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day101.8pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$69
7 days−$69
14 days−$87
30 days−$169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$166
sports 1% −$3
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (102 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -0.9% -10.3% 42% 33% -15.3%
≤30d 728 -2.9% -12.1% 56% 51% -14.1%
≤90d 728 -2.9% -12.1% 56% 51% -14.1%
all 728 -2.9% -12.1% 56% 51% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover101.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 51% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 44% -22.3%
15% -28.2% 30% -29.8%
20% -35.2% 19% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.6 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

27d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses405 / 323
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)728 / 728
History coverage27d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day101.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 728 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $189 −$14 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $46 −$35 -76%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $18 −$18 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$4 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $11 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $43 −$12 -28%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $45 −$16 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $45 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $17 +$11 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $108 −$16 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $61 −$1 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $37 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $79 +$19 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $127 +$23 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $93 −$18 -20%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $17 −$1 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$14 +185%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $30 −$4 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$3 -23%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $34 −$9 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$3 +238%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +144%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$1 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 07 $3 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 07 $2 +$1 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3412 history records