Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:27:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf504…0111
sports · 437 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,439 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,382 · open −$56
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$164
Realized−$2,382
Unrealized−$56
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses195 / 584
Est. fees paid−$130
Open positions12
Markets (closed)779 / 437
History coverage7d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day447.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 12 History 779 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,314
7 days−$2,374
14 days−$2,382
30 days−$2,382
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Varnamo: Patrik Munkhammar vs Max Dahlin Max Dahlin 56¢ 50¢ $34 $30 −$4 (-11%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 43¢ 79¢ $14 $26 +$12 (+82%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage GenOne 69¢ 81¢ $16 $19 +$3 (+19%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 40¢ 18¢ $40 $18 −$22 (-54%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos NC Dinos 49¢ 50¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 28¢ 56¢ $6 $12 +$6 (+98%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 46¢ 56¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+23%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos Hanwha Eagles 53¢ 50¢ $12 $12 −$1 (-4%)
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 22¢ $19 $8 −$11 (-59%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 40¢ 21¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-47%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 55¢ 44¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-21%)
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque Rafael Izquierdo Luque 63¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$1 (-18%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Lanlana Tararudee 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 29¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Raul Brancaccio 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Akasha Urhobo 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Maddison Inglis 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? No 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-05-23? No 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Cervia: Sandro Kopp vs Max Alcala Gurri Sandro Kopp 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Linda Fruhvirtova 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
ITF San Gregorio: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Angelica Raggi Angelica Raggi 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Cervia: Sandro Kopp vs Max Alcala Gurri Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Forca Lleida CE vs. Basquet Club Andorra Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will San Diego Wave FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
AEK vs. Olympiacos B.C. Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Europ Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Lautaro Midon Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC Gifu win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kaja Juvan vs Guiomar Maristany Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-05-19? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
CB Murcia vs. Unicaja Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13? Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Ehime FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Angel City FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Despina Papamichail vs Hanyu Guo Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Ouden Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Karolina Pl Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will NK Osijek win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$215
other 5% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 55¢ $1 38m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 55¢ $1 38m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 55¢ $1 38m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 48¢ $11 39m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 40¢ $4 39m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 48¢ $8 40m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 44¢ $4 42m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 40¢ $2 42m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 40¢ $3 43m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 62¢ $7 43m
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque BUY Rafael Izquierdo Luque 63¢ $3 45m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 27¢ $2 48m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY GenOne 74¢ $10 48m
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Lanlana Tararudee 35¢ $3 49m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 40¢ $3 52m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 38¢ $3 52m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 31¢ $3 55m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 27¢ $2 56m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 25¢ $2 58m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 73¢ $3 58m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 66¢ $4 59m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 39¢ $2 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 37¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 40¢ $3 1h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 64¢ $2 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 41¢ $4 1h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Akasha Urhobo 27¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 21¢ $1 1h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 54¢ $6 1h
Will OC Safi win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 53¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-53.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 768 -49.1% -53.9% 25% 20% -27.4%
≤30d 779 -48.2% -53.2% 25% 20% -27.3%
≤90d 779 -48.2% -53.2% 25% 20% -27.3%
all 779 -48.2% -53.2% 25% 20% -27.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover447.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -53.2% 20% -27.3%
10% ← realistic here -57.7% 17% -34.3%
15% -61.7% 13% -40.6%
20% -65.5% 11% -46.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $164.18 · official $166.28 · 3500 history records