trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $32,181 | $32,908 | +$727 (+2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $24,142 | $24,075 | −$67 (-0%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $12,482 | $12,213 | −$268 (-2%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $11,279 | $11,086 | −$194 (-2%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $10,800 | $10,850 | +$50 (+0%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 67¢ | 62¢ | $10,632 | $9,760 | −$873 (-8%) |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $8,335 | $8,285 | −$49 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | No | 53¢ | 52¢ | $5,731 | $5,594 | −$137 (-2%) |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | $4,155 | $4,850 | +$696 (+17%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | $4,667 | $4,798 | +$131 (+3%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | No | 92¢ | 94¢ | $4,600 | $4,725 | +$125 (+3%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $3,903 | $3,881 | −$21 (-1%) |
| Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron | 29¢ | 38¢ | $2,095 | $2,781 | +$686 (+33%) |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 65¢ | 19¢ | $6,470 | $1,895 | −$4,575 (-71%) |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $11,544 | $1,732 | −$9,813 (-85%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | No | 49¢ | 48¢ | $1,688 | $1,671 | −$17 (-1%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | No | 73¢ | 74¢ | $1,475 | $1,485 | +$10 (+1%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | No | 61¢ | 66¢ | $1,342 | $1,441 | +$99 (+7%) |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $6,628 | $1,392 | −$5,236 (-79%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | $1,231 | $1,239 | +$7 (+1%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1,230 | $1,237 | +$6 (+1%) |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | $1,172 | $1,179 | +$7 (+1%) |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? | No | 77¢ | 79¢ | $1,078 | $1,106 | +$28 (+3%) |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | No | 73¢ | 72¢ | $861 | $855 | −$6 (-1%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | No | 50¢ | 50¢ | $612 | $618 | +$6 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $448 | −$13,510 | -3016% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva | Jun 12 | $9,540 | −$9,540 | -100% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $192 | −$192 | -100% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $1,347 | −$1,346 | -100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic | Jun 12 | $14,118 | −$14,118 | -100% |
| HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian | Jun 12 | $5,680 | −$5,680 | -100% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo | Jun 12 | $2,200 | −$2,200 | -100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $148 | −$148 | -100% |
| Stuttgart Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Martin Landaluce | Jun 12 | $4,248 | −$4,248 | -100% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Camila Osorio | Jun 12 | $3,077 | −$3,077 | -100% |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $448 | −$12,750 | -2846% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider | Jun 12 | $22,250 | −$22,250 | -100% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska | Jun 12 | $7,508 | −$7,508 | -100% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea | Jun 12 | $3,809 | −$3,809 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $0 | +$100 | +67360% |
| HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter | Jun 12 | $6,638 | +$3,362 | +51% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $591 | +$4,023 | +681% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $5,610 | +$330 | +6% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $13,800 | +$7,321 | +53% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $13,350 | +$1,835 | +14% |
| Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska | Jun 11 | $3,458 | −$3,407 | -98% |
| Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur | Jun 11 | $7,414 | +$2,586 | +35% |
| Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth | Jun 11 | $147 | −$147 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 10 | $2 | +$1,318 | +67500% |
| Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela Ruse | Jun 09 | $2,308 | +$726 | +32% |
| Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino | Jun 09 | $4,333 | +$3,304 | +76% |
| Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen | Jun 09 | $6,603 | +$3,397 | +51% |
| Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm | Jun 09 | $2,334 | +$2,040 | +87% |
| Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez | Jun 09 | $6,000 | −$6,000 | -100% |
| Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics | Jun 09 | $1,276 | −$1,264 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 30 | +109.5% | +89.6% | 40% | 37% | -44.1% |
| ≤30d | 30 | +109.5% | +89.6% | 40% | 37% | -44.1% |
| ≤90d | 30 | +109.5% | +89.6% | 40% | 37% | -44.1% |
| all | 30 | +109.5% | +89.6% | 40% | 37% | -44.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +89.6% | 37% | -44.1% |
| 10% | +71.4% | 33% | -49.4% |
| 15% ← realistic here | +54.9% | 27% | -54.3% |
| 20% | +39.7% | 27% | -58.8% |