Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T15:44:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
F5 0xf52b…abba crypto 107 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$161 (+7%) realized +$161 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate65%70W / 37L
Drawdown72%max
Avg bet$21per market
Trades / day26.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$130
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 +4.8% -5.2% 65% 56% -4.3%
≤30d 107 +4.8% -5.2% 65% 56% -4.3%
≤90d 107 +4.8% -5.2% 65% 56% -4.3%
all 107 +4.8% -5.2% 65% 56% -4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.2% 56% -4.3%
10% ← realistic here -14.3% 37% -13.4%
15% -22.5% 24% -21.8%
20% -30.1% 16% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +14% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$12 · ×0.68 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.3 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$161
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses70 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)107 / 107
History coverage7d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day26.6
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 107 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$31 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 24 $61 −$9 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 24 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 24 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 24 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$15 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$27 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 24 $62 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 24 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 24 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$7 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $41 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 24 $41 −$7 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 24 $21 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 24 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 24 $21 +$25 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $20 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 24 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 24 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 24 $21 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 24 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 23 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 23 $15 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 23 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 23 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 23 $15 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 23 $15 +$9 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $15 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 22 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 22 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 22 $20 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 22 $20 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 22 $21 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 22 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 22 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $20 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $17 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $17 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $21 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $17 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $21 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $20 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $30 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 243 history records