Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:20:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf539…439c
crypto · 390 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$13 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses212 / 178
Open positions0
Markets (closed)390 / 390
History coverage58d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 390 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days−$11
14 days−$34
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 187 +1.2% -8.5% 58% 58% -11.2%
≤30d 298 +2.0% -7.8% 55% 54% -11.2%
≤90d 390 +2.5% -7.3% 54% 54% -10.0%
all 390 +2.5% -7.3% 54% 54% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.3% 54% -10.0%
10% -16.2% 53% -18.6%
15% -24.3% 50% -26.5%
20% -31.7% 42% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.49 · official $0.00 (match) · 807 history records