Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:42:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf543…0393
crypto · 431 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$104 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$409 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$409
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses111 / 318
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)429 / 431
History coverage67d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day19.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 429 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days−$128
30 days−$175
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 06 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 06 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 06 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 06 $14 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 06 $16 −$8 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 06 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 06 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 06 $8 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$9 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 06 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 06 $20 +$7 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 05 $5 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 05 $8 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 05 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 05 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 05 $14 +$20 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 05 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 05 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 05 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 04 $4 +$9 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 31 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 31 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$409
sports 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $31 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $11 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $10 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-38.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -29.4% -36.1% 33% 33% -4.0%
≤30d 79 -57.4% -61.5% 22% 19% -42.6%
≤90d 429 -31.7% -38.2% 26% 24% -14.6%
all 429 -31.7% -38.2% 26% 24% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.2% 24% -14.6%
10% -44.1% 23% -22.8%
15% -49.5% 21% -30.3%
20% -54.5% 19% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.66 · official $14.66 (match) · 1546 history records