trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 67% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 42% | 8% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 42% | 8% | -8.3% |
| all | 27 | -7.5% | -16.3% | 44% | 7% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.3% | 7% | -11.8% |
| 10% | -24.3% | 4% | -20.2% |
| 15% | -31.6% | 4% | -27.9% |
| 20% | -38.3% | 0% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | No | 68¢ | 68¢ | $51 | $51 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $86 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 17 | $27 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 06 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $27 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 05 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 05 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 02 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $27 | +$3 | +13% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +7% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Dec 23 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | May 09 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025? | May 08 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9? | May 08 | $18 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? | May 07 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Pope be from North America? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | -69% |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 8-10%? | May 07 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian p | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 2–9? | May 06 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +38% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | May 06 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runof | May 05 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Na Kyung-won be the People's Power Party candidate for president? | May 05 | $17 | +$1 | +3% |