Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:38:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F5 0xf55e…8dff crypto 1441 markets active 1h ago coverage 22d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Total PnL +$547 (+1%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate92%1330W / 111L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day94.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$170
7 days+$180
14 days+$232
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$11
sports 1% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 546 +0.9% -8.7% 93% 15% -8.7%
≤30d 1441 -0.2% -9.7% 92% 17% -9.5%
≤90d 1441 -0.2% -9.7% 92% 17% -9.5%
all 1441 -0.2% -9.7% 92% 17% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover94.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 17% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 1% -18.2%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
77% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$31 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1330 / 111
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1441 / 1441
History coverage22d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day94.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1441 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $41 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $44 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $44 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $44 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $44 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$9 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$36 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $44 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $44 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$8 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $41 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $37 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $41 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $43 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $44 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $40 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $44 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $41 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $41 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $42 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $42 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $40 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $44 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $44 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $42 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $43 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records