Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:27:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf561…7acc
crypto · 1786 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$31 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1577 / 225
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1802 / 1786
History coverage92d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day20.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1802 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days−$49
14 days−$57
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -3214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -3012%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -25%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3
sports 0% $0
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 -10.4% -19.0% 78% 56% -18.8%
≤30d 889 -3.8% -12.9% 85% 47% -12.2%
≤90d 1762 -1.5% -10.9% 87% 39% -10.2%
all 1802 -1.3% -10.7% 88% 40% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 40% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 4% -18.7%
15% -27.1% 0% -26.6%
20% -34.2% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.58 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records