Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:05:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf56f…6c44
crypto · 60 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$84 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$85 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$68
Realized+$85
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses33 / 25
Open positions2
Markets (closed)58 / 60
History coverage1d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day3442.0
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$85
7 days+$85
14 days+$85
30 days+$85
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $58 $65 +$7 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $3 +$3 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-92%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $156 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $142 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $76 +$9 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $119 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $155 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$7 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$11 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $93 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $81 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $114 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $119 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$7 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $93 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $111 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $102 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $145 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $151 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $146 −$10 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $143 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $150 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $126 −$11 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$9 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$8 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $159 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $126 −$3 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 +3.7% -6.2% 57% 10% -8.3%
≤30d 58 +3.7% -6.2% 57% 10% -8.3%
≤90d 58 +3.7% -6.2% 57% 10% -8.3%
all 58 +3.7% -6.2% 57% 10% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3442.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.2% 10% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.2% 2% -17.0%
15% -23.4% 2% -25.1%
20% -30.9% 2% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.52 · official $64.94 · 3500 history records