trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 20 | -11.1% | -19.6% | 60% | 40% | -17.6% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 59% | 33% | -12.1% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 59% | 33% | -12.1% |
| all | 27 | -7.7% | -16.5% | 59% | 33% | -12.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.5% | 33% | -12.1% |
| 10% | -24.5% | 19% | -20.5% |
| 15% | -31.8% | 15% | -28.2% |
| 20% | -38.5% | 11% | -35.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $2,779 | $301 | −$2,478 (-89%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Spread: Sweden (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $2,004 | +$153 | +8% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1,000 | −$998 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $3,836 | +$1,174 | +31% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $456 | +$28 | +6% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $138 | +$76 | +55% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $164 | −$164 | -100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | Jun 12 | $66 | +$12 | +18% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $4 | −$4 | -80% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | Jun 12 | $951 | +$68 | +7% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | Jun 12 | $1,045 | +$21 | +2% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $1,869 | −$1,704 | -91% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $581 | +$105 | +18% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $848 | +$175 | +21% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $112 | −$111 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $43 | +$69 | +158% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $30 | +$13 | +41% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $48 | −$7 | -15% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 08 | $30 | +$1 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 07 | $5,901 | +$201 | +3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $2,168 | +$369 | +17% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | May 28 | $168 | −$9 | -5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | May 28 | $8 | $0 | -2% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | May 28 | $127 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 28 | $249 | +$3 | +1% |