trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +12.7% | +2.0% | 35% | 35% | -0.0% |
| ≤30d | 24 | +18.3% | +7.0% | 38% | 38% | +5.8% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +18.3% | +7.0% | 38% | 38% | +5.8% |
| all | 26 | +9.2% | -1.2% | 35% | 35% | -7.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.2% | 35% | -7.7% |
| 10% | -10.7% | 31% | -16.5% |
| 15% | -19.3% | 31% | -24.6% |
| 20% | -27.2% | 27% | -32.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+26%) |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $10 | $4 | −$6 (-57%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -94% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $12 | +$16 | +130% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$2 | -29% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $61 | +$32 | +53% |
| England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$14 | -91% |
| England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $4 | −$2 | -47% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$1 | -26% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | Jun 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$22 | +215% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5 | Jun 16 | $3 | +$6 | +180% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $7 | −$4 | -58% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $55 | +$12 | +21% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$5 | -44% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $21 | +$20 | +95% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 11.5 Total Corners | Jun 15 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $14 | −$10 | -69% |
| Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 Egypt? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$13 | +63% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners | Jun 13 | $15 | +$22 | +146% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 07 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 07 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |