Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:44:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf59d…124c
crypto · 2228 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$439 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$438 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized+$438
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses960 / 1105
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2065 / 2228
History coverage34d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day73.1
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 2065 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$204
7 days+$455
14 days+$514
30 days+$431
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 47¢ 68¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+46%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$620
other 6% +$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 37m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-27.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 736 +11.5% +0.9% 65% 65% +10.6%
≤30d 1090 +8.1% -2.2% 71% 58% +0.7%
≤90d 2065 -19.7% -27.4% 46% 36% -2.0%
all 2065 -19.7% -27.4% 46% 36% -2.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.4% 36% -2.0%
10% ← realistic here -34.3% 29% -11.3%
15% -40.7% 22% -19.9%
20% -46.5% 16% -27.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.22 · official $3.40 (match) · 3500 history records