Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:56:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F5
0xf5a6…08bf
sports · 172 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$302 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$241 · open −$115
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$482
Realized−$241
Unrealized−$115
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses58 / 105
Est. fees paid−$42
Open positions12
Markets (closed)163 / 172
History coverage1d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day2566.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 12 History 163 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$241
7 days−$241
14 days−$241
30 days−$241
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Julia Avdeeva 31¢ 100¢ $86 $278 +$192 (+223%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score No 46¢ 46¢ $117 $116 −$1 (-1%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 77¢ 100¢ $25 $33 +$8 (+30%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Nikoloz Basilashvili 39¢ 39¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-0%)
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus Savannah Broadus 17¢ 39¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+128%)
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-06-14? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 30¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Tessa Brockmann 76¢ 76¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Netherlands leading at halftime? No 64¢ 64¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 25¢ 24¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus Aliona Falei 77¢ 61¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-20%)
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: O/U 5.5 Over 7¢ 6¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Alexander Shevchenko 35¢ 62¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+77%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Taro Daniel 49¢ 38¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-22%)
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) Brazil 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Under 52¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Eva Vedder 68¢ 0¢ $113 $1 −$112 (-99%)
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Brazil 21¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) St. Louis Cardinals 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Morocco (-2.5) Morocco 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $148 −$30 -20%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $55 −$10 -18%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $8 −$2 -29%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $14 −$5 -34%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $8 −$6 -68%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $15 −$10 -63%
Spread: Türkiye (-2.5) Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $12 −$11 -92%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $19 +$87 +450%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $76 −$20 -26%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $33 −$16 -47%
Spread: Australia (-2.5) Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $85 −$47 -54%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 Jun 14 $4 −$2 -44%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $39 −$16 -40%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +124%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) Jun 14 $2 $0 -16%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5 Jun 14 $6 +$5 +78%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $3 +$3 +87%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 14 $1 +$1 +114%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5 Jun 14 $4 −$1 -31%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5 Jun 14 $2 +$2 +76%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $221 −$37 -17%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $61 −$55 -90%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 14 $4 −$1 -35%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $142 −$65 -46%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Zongyu Li Jun 14 $21 −$3 -15%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Scotland leading at halftime? Jun 14 $17 −$15 -86%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $4 +$2 +43%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $24 +$3 +14%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $82 −$26 -32%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $179 −$71 -40%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $30 −$22 -71%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$167
other 15% −$186
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 15¢ $1 55m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 60¢ $1 56m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 57m
Netherlands leading at halftime? BUY No 64¢ $1 58m
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 16¢ $1 59m
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 59m
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 16¢ $1 59m
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 16¢ $0 59m
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 16¢ $1 59m
Netherlands leading at halftime? BUY No 64¢ $1 1h
Netherlands leading at halftime? BUY No 64¢ $1 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 15¢ $1 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 15¢ $1 1h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Alexander Shevchenko 35¢ $1 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 26¢ $1 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 46¢ $1 1h
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Aliona Falei 77¢ $1 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $1 1h
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Aliona Falei 76¢ $1 1h
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Aliona Falei 77¢ $1 1h
ITF Guimaraes: Aliona Falei vs Savannah Broadus BUY Savannah Broadus 27¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $1 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score BUY No 45¢ $1 1h
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder BUY Julia Avdeeva 24¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 163 -11.1% -19.5% 36% 30% -16.9%
≤30d 163 -11.1% -19.5% 36% 30% -16.9%
≤90d 163 -11.1% -19.5% 36% 30% -16.9%
all 163 -11.1% -19.5% 36% 30% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2566.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.5% 30% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.2% 25% -24.9%
15% -34.3% 20% -32.1%
20% -40.7% 17% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $482.16 · official $482.16 (match) · 3500 history records