Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T09:53:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F5 0xf5b0…85f8 crypto 112 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4,310 (-14%) realized −$4,310 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate46%51W / 61L
Whale WR37%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$269per market
Trades / day63.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$4,894
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -7.0% -15.9% 46% 44% -24.4%
≤30d 112 -7.0% -15.9% 46% 44% -24.4%
≤90d 112 -7.0% -15.9% 46% 44% -24.4%
all 112 -7.0% -15.9% 46% 44% -24.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 44% -24.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 42% -31.7%
15% -31.3% 38% -38.3%
20% -38.0% 34% -44.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 37% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -41% → late +27% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$174 vs −$226 · ×0.77 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,310
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses51 / 61
Whale WR (big bets)37%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)112 / 112
History coverage2d
Avg bet$269
Trades / day63.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 112 Trades
no open positions (59 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 26 $470 −$450 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 26 $431 +$299 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 26 $457 +$135 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 26 $463 −$449 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 26 $461 +$242 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 26 $460 +$231 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 26 $457 +$114 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 26 $462 +$295 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 26 $462 +$263 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 26 $459 +$196 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 26 $463 +$324 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 26 $461 −$450 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 26 $460 +$231 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $2 +$44 +1775%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 26 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 26 $456 +$97 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 26 $461 +$257 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 26 $13 +$16 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 26 $462 −$449 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 26 $7 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $309 +$209 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 26 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 26 $9 +$10 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 26 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 26 $306 +$129 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 26 $308 +$191 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 25 $308 +$172 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 25 $307 +$169 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 25 $8 +$12 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 25 $155 +$138 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 25 $154 +$110 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 25 $307 +$147 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 25 $308 −$299 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 25 $152 +$41 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 25 $616 −$600 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $615 +$322 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 25 $154 +$92 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 25 $154 +$96 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 25 $154 +$102 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $617 −$599 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $616 −$600 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 25 $621 +$589 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 25 $614 −$600 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $17 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 25 $9 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $8 +$13 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 25 $615 −$600 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $133 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $337 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $431 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $463 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $457 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $461 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $460 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $457 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $462 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $462 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $459 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $463 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $461 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $460 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $456 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $461 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $13 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $462 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $309 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $308 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $306 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $308 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $307 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $8 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 169 history records