Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:29:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
F5 0xf5d5…c9d4 crypto 1739 markets active 0h ago coverage 100d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 99d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$26 (+0%) realized +$26 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1713W / 26L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$28per market
Trades / day17.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days+$41
14 days+$151
30 days+$154
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$133
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 0% -9.0%
≤30d 392 +0.6% -9.0% 99% 1% -9.1%
≤90d 1311 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 0% -9.3%
all 1739 +0.2% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover17.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.0%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -0% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$26 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.2 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

100d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$26
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1713 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1739 / 1739
History coverage100d ⚠
Avg bet$28
Trades / day17.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1739 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $55 +$3 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $55 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $181 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $55 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $180 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 17 $54 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $54 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $54 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $54 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $177 +$3 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $177 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $176 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $176 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 17 $26 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $132 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $58 −$58 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $173 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $192 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $58 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $46 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $116 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $191 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $58 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $58 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $190 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $190 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $58 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $189 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $189 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $187 +$5 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $186 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $125 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $182 +$16 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $55 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $179 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $37 +$3 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $54 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $54 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $178 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $54 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $178 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $177 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $177 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $176 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $175 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $46 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $117 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $55 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $55 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $181 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $55 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $180 47m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $54 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $54 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $54 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $177 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $177 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $176 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $176 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $132 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $173 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $58 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $192 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $58 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $46 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $116 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $191 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $58 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $58 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $190 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $190 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $58 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $189 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $189 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records